THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUDGET DEFICIT AND INFLATION IN SYRIA FOR THE PERIOD (1990-2010).
- Department of Financial.
- Banking Sciences, Tishreen University, Lattakia, Syria.
215 Downloads
426 Views
Abstract
Government budget deficit has been one of the most critical issues in the countries' historical economic problems. The budget deficit-inflation relationship is not always obvious and it varies between countries. This paper investigates the long-run and the short-run relationship between budget deficit and inflation in Syria, by using annual data for the period of 1990-2010. We employ johanson test approach of co-integration to investigate the long-run relationship between budget deficit and inflation within the Vector error-correction model (VECM). The empirical results suggest that there is significant and positive long-run relationship between budget deficit and inflation in Syria, while it does not exist on the short-run.
Keywords
How to Cite This Article
Fadia Ibrahim al Bouza and Samir Sharaf. (2018); THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUDGET DEFICIT AND INFLATION IN SYRIA FOR THE PERIOD (1990-2010)., International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR), 6 (09), 47-56, ISSN 2320-5407. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21474/IJAR01/7644
Corresponding Author
Article Analytics
References
- Adinevand, Mehdi (2015). Effect of budget deficit on production, inflation and trade balance of Iran-Based on the synchronous equations? model. Bulletin of the Georgian National Academy of Scienses, Vol. 9 no. 1, PP. 246- 255.
- Afrin, Sadia (2013). Fiscal Deficits and Inflation: the case of Bangladesh. Chief Economists Unit (CEU) Working Paper Series: WP 1303, pp. 1-27.
- Ahmad, Muhammad; Sheikh, Muhammad; Tariq, Khadija (2012). Domestic Debt and Inflationary Effects: An Evidence from Pakistan. International Journal of Humanities and Social Science. Vol. 2 No. 18, PP. 256- 263.
- Ammama; Mughal, Khalid; Khan, Muhammad (2011). Fiscal deficit and its impact on inflation, Causality and Co-integration: The Experience of Pakistan (1960-2010). Far East Journal of Psychology and Business. Vol. 5 No. 3, pp. 51- 62.
- Boariu, Angela; Bilan, Irina (2007). Inflatinary Effects of Budget Deficit Financing in Contemporary Economies. Analele Ştiintifice Ale Universitatii, Alexandru Ioan Cuza? Din Iast, PP. 78- 82.
- Erkam, Serkan; Cetinkaya, Murat (2014). Budget Deficits and Inflation: Evidence from Turkey. The Macrotheme Review. Vol. 3 No. 8, PP. 12-22.
- Habibullah, Muzafar; Cheah, Chee; Baharom , A.H (2011). Budget Deficits and Inflation in Thirteen Asian Developing Countries. International Journal of Business and Social Science. Vol. 2 No. 9, PP. 192-204.
- Helmy, Omneia (2008). The Impact of Budget Deficit on Inflation in Egypt. The Egyption Center for Economic studies Working Paper 141, pp. 1-32.
- Koyuncu, Fatma (2014). Causality Network between Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation: An Application to Turkey. International Journal of Business and Social Science. Vol. 5, No. 10(1), PP. 225- 235.
- Makochekanwa, Albert (2011). Impact of Budget Deficit on Inflation in Zimbabwe. The Economiic Researrch Guarrdiian. Vol. 1 No 2 , PP. 49- 59.
- Mansfield, Edwin; Behravesh, Nariman (2001). Economics U.S.A. USA: Norton & Company.
- Milo, Petraq (2012). The impact of the budget deficit on the currency and inflation in the transition economies. Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice.1 , 25-57.
- Omoke P. C; Oruta L.I (2010). Budget Deficit, Money Supply and Inflation in Nigeria.European Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences ISSN 1450-2275 Issue 19.
- Pelesai, Audu; Oyinpreye, Apere (2013). Budget Deficit and Inflation among ECOWAS Countries: An Econometric Modeling. Public Policy and Administration Research. Vol.3, No.10, PP. 12- 21.
- Piontkivsky, R; Bakun, A; Kryshko, M; Sytnyk,T (2001). The Impact of the Budget Deficit on Inflation in Ukraine. International Centre for Policy Studies, PP.4- 33.
- Prammer, Doris; Reiss, Lukas (2015). Impact of Inflation on Fiscal Aggregates in Austria. Monetary Policy & the Economy, PP. 28-40.
- Rohlf, William D(2007). Introduction to Economic Reasoning. USA: Drury College.
- Sargent, T. and N. Wallace (1985). Some unpleasant. monetarist arithmetic. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review. Vol 2, PP. 15-31.
- Samimi, Ahmad; Jamshidbaygi, Sajad (2011). Budget Deficit and Inflation: A Sensitivity Analysis to Inflation and Money Supply in Iran. Middle-East Journal of Scientific Research. Vol. 8 1, PP. 257-260.
- Sanya, Ogunsakin; Sunday, Olalere (2017). Nexus Between Inflation and Budget Deficit: a Comparative Study Between Nigeria and South Africa. International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management. Vol. 6 No. 8, PP. 98- 112.
- Saysombath, Phouthanouphet; Kyophilavong, Phouphet (2014). An Examination of the Causal Relationship between Budget Deficit and Inflation: a Case Study of Lao PDR. Journal of Social and Development Sciences. Vol. 5 No. 2, PP. 43-49.
- Serfraz, Ayesha; Anwar, Mumtaz (2009). Fiscal Imbalances and Inflation: A Case Study of Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences. Vol. 29 No. 1, PP. 39-50.
- Sims, C. A. (1994). A Simple Model for the Study of the Determination of the Price Level and the Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policy. Economic Theory. Vol. 4 No. 63 ,PP. 381-399.
- Sims, C. A. (1998). Econometric Implications of the Government Budget Constraint. Journal of Econometrics. No.83,PP. 9-19.
- Tiwari, Aviral; Tiwari, A.P (2011). Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: An empirical analysis for India. The Romanian Economic Journal. No. 42, PP: 131- 158.
- Tiwari, Aviral; Tiwari, A.P; Pandey, Bharti (2012). Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: What Cause What? The Case of India. Jornal of Business and Economy. No. 13(1), pp. 58-81.
- Vroey, ?Michel; Malgrange, Pierre (2011). The History of Macroeconomics from Keynes?s General Theory to the Present. IRES Discussion Paper, University of Louvain
- Woodford, M. (1994). Monetary Policy and Price-Level Determinacy in a Cash-in-Advance Economy. Economic Theory. Vol. 4,PP. 345-380.
- Woodford, M. (1995). Price-level Determinacy without Control of a Monetary Aggregate, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. No. 43,PP.1-46.
- Woodford, M. (1996). Control of the Public Debt: A Requirement for Price Stability, NBER Working Paper. No. 5684.
- Yien, Lim; Abdullah, Hussin; Azam, Muhammad (2017). Granger Causality Analysis between Inflation, Debt and Exchange Rate: Evidence from Malaysia. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences. Vol. 7 No. 1, PP. 189- 196.
Similar Articles
49
203
0
39
1
32
0
44
2
46
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.





