Vol. 7 (01) pp. 1271-1279 DOI: 10.21474/IJAR01/8450

THE APPLICATION OF DEMAND FORECAST MODELS IN TEMPORARY SERIES OF THE AIRPORT OF THE CITY OF RIBEIRAO PRETO IN THE STATE OF SAO PAULO.

  • Centro Universitario Estacio Ribeirao Preto.
11 Downloads 65 Views
Crossref

Download Full Paper (PDF)

Abstract

Air transport has the function of stimulating economic relations and the exchange of people and goods, being an active sector in the world economy. The objective of this research is the application of the forecast methods of Holt demand, Smoothing, Winter, Regression and Moving Average at the State Airport Dr. Leite Lopes located in Ribeir?oPreto contributing to its operational performance and strategic planning. From the results it is observable which model is relevant the demand of passengers, aircraft and cargoes, with tendency to the growth of the demand through the analyzed years contributing to the air demand.

Keywords

Article Analytics

References

  1. Almeida, M. R.; Mariano, E. B.; Rebelatto, D. A. N. (2007). An?lise de efici?ncia dos aeroportos internacionais brasileiros (Analysis of efficiency of Brazilian international airports). Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produ??o (National Meeting of Production Engineering), Florian?polis, 27, 1-17.
  2. Almeida, V. M. B. (2010). Estudo de modelos de previs?o de demanda para reposi??o de produtos de consumo (Study of demand forecast models for replacement of consumer products). 2010. 134 f. Monografia - Gradua??o em Engenharia de Produ??o (Monography - Undergraduate in Production Engineering) ? Escola Polit?cnica da Universidade de S?o Paulo (Polytechnic School of the University of S?o Paulo), S?o Paulo.
  3. Ag?ncia Nacional de Avia??o Civil (National Agency of Civil Aviation). (2018). http://www.anac.gov.br/assuntos/dados-e-estatisticas.
  4. Azevedo, J. C.; Ortigoza, S. G. (2008). Instala??o e amplia??o de aeroportos e seus impactos s?cio-espaciais em cidades paulistas: o caso de Ribeir?o Preto (Installation and expansion of airports and their socio-spatial impacts in S?o Paulo cities: the case of Ribeir?o Preto).7? Simp?sio de Transporte A?reo-SITRAER, Rio de Janeiro (7th Air Transport Symposium-SITRAER, Rio de Janeiro).http://www.observatoriogeograficoamericalatina.org.mx/egal12/Geografiasocioeconomica/Geografiadeltransporte/39.pdf.
  5. Ballou, R. H. (2001). Gerenciamento da cadeia de suprimentos: planejamento, organiza??o e log?sticaempresarial (Supply chain management: business planning, organization and logistics). Porto Alegre: Bookman.
  6. Ballou, R. H.(2009). Gerenciamento da Cadeia de Suprimentos - Log?stica Empresarial (Supply Chain Management - Business Logistics). Bookman Editora.
  7. Bortoletto, W. W. et al. (2016). Modelos de s?ries temporais para previs?o de demanda: estudo de caso em uma ind?stria eletroeletr?nica. EncontroNacional de Engenharia de Produ??o (Time series models for demand forecasting: case study in an electronics industry. National Meeting of Production Engineering), Jo?o Pessoa, 36, 1-20.
  8. Chopra, S.; Meindl, P. (2011). Gest?o da cadeia de suprimentos: estrat?gia, planejamento e opera??o. S?o Paulo: Pearson Prentice Hall (Supply chain management: strategy, planning and operation. S?o Paulo: Pearson Prentice Hall).
  9. Consul, F. B;. Werner, L.(2010). Avalia??o de t?cnicas de previs?o de demandautilizadaspor um software de gerenciamento de estoques no setorfarmac?utico. XXX EncontroNacional de Engenharia de Produ??o (Evaluation of demand forecasting techniques used by stock management software in the pharmaceutical sector. XXX National Meeting of Production Engineering), S?o Carlos, out.
  10. Corr?a, H. L.; Corr?a, C. (2012). A.?Administra??o de produ??o e opera??es: manufatura e servi?os: umaabordagemestrat?gica. S?o Paulo: Atlas (Production and operations management: manufacturing and services: a strategic approach. S?o Paulo: Atlas).
  11. (2017). Departamento Aerovi?rio do Estado de S?o Paulo (Department of Aviation of the State of S?o Paulo). http://www.daesp.sp.gov.br/estatistica-consulta/.
  12. Dalfovo, M. S.; Lana, R. A.; Silveira, A. (2008). M?todos quantitativos e qualitativos: um resgate te?rico. Revista Interdisciplinar Cient?fica Aplicada, Blumenau (Quantitative and qualitative methods: a theoretical rescue. Applied Scientific Interdisciplinary Journal, Blumenau), 2, 4, 01- 13.
  13. Davis, M. M.; Aquilano, N. J.; Chase, R. B.?(2001). Fundamentos da administra??o da produ??o (Fundamentals of production management). Porto Alegre: Bookman.
  14. Gaither, N.; Frazier, G. (2002). Administra??o da produ??o e opera??es. S?o Paulo: Pioneira Thomson Learning (Production management and operations. S?o Paulo: Pioneer Thomson Learning), 2002.
  15. Gil, A. C. (2002). Como elaborar projetos de pesquisa (How to design research projects). S?o Paulo: Atlas.
  16. KhourY, F. K. C. B. (2011). Minimiza??o de custos de produ??o via programa??o inteira mista: estudo de caso de planejamento de produ??o de lumin?rias (Minimization of production costs through mixed integer programming: a case study of lighting production planning). 2011, 114 . Disserta??o (Mestrado em Engenharia de Produ??o) ? Pontif?cia Universidade Cat?lica do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro (Dissertation (Master in Production Engineering) - Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro).
  17. Krajewski, L. J.; Ritzman, L. P.; MalhotrA, M. K. (2009). Administra??o de produ??o e opera??es. S?o Paulo: Pearson Prentice Hall (Production and operations management. S?o Paulo: Pearson Prentice Hall).
  18. L?lis, E. C. (2012). Administra??o da Produ??o. S?o Paulo: Pearson (Production management. S?o Paulo: Pearson), 2012.
  19. Lustosa, L.; Mesquita, M, A.; Quelhas, O.; Oliveira, R. (2008). Planejamento e controle da produ??o. Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier (Planning and production control. Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier).
  20. Marcos, A. R. A.; Ferreira, L. (2015). Um modelo de simula??oparagest?o da capacidade dos aeroportosbrasileiros. RevistaEletr?nica de Administra??o (A simulation model for capacity management of Brazilian airports. Electronic Journal of Administration). Porto Alegre, 80, 1, 1-26.
  21. Moreira, D. A.?(2008). Administra??o da produ??o e opera??es. S?o Paulo: Cengage Learning (Production management and operations. S?o Paulo: Cengage Learning).
  22. Pellegrini, Fernando Rezende. (2000). Metodologia para implementa??o de sistemas de previs?o de demanda.?Mestrado em Engenharia de Produ??o-Departamento de Engenharia de Produ??o e Transportes (Methodology for the implementation of demand forecasting systems. Master in Production Engineering-Department of Production and Transportation Engineering). Porto Alegre-Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul.
  23. Peinado, J.; Graeml, A. R. (2007). Administra??o da produ??o: opera??es industriais e de servi?os. Curitiba: UnicenP (Production management: industrial operations and services. Curitiba: UnicenP).
  24. Presa, R. S.; Dela Marta, L. G.; Oliveira, J. P. L. (2011). Estudo da previs?o de demanda de passageiros no aeroporto de Ribeir?o Preto, o Dr. Leite Lopes (Study of the demand forecast of passengers at the airport of Ribeir?o Preto, Dr. Leite Lopes). 2011. 91 f. Monografia (Gradua??o em Administra??o de Empresas)?? Centro Universit?rio UNISEB-COC, Ribeir?o Preto, S?o Paulo (Monography (Undergraduate Degree in Business Administration) - UNISEB-COC University Center, Ribeir?o Preto, S?o Paulo).
  25. Rodrigues, R. L.; De Medeiros, F. PA.; Gomes, A. S. (2013). Modelo de Regress?o Linear aplicado ? previs?o de desempenho de estudantes em ambiente de aprendizagem. In:?Brazilian Symposium on Computers in Education (Linear Regression model applied to predict performance of students in a learning environment. In: Brazilian Symposium on Computers in Education) (Simp?sioBrasileiro de Inform?ticanaEduca??o-SBIE/Brazilian Symposium on Informatics in Education-BSIE), 607.
  26. Senna, P.; Tanscheit, R.; Gomes, A. M. (2015). Planejando o processo de previs?o de demanda com aux?lio da l?gica fuzzy (Planning the demand forecasting process with the help of fuzzy logic.). Revista Produ??o e Desenvolvimento (Production and Development Magazine), Rio de Janeiro, 1, 2, 90-103.
  27. Tubino, D. F. (2007). Planejamento e controle da produ??o: teoria e pr?tica (Production planning and control: theory and practice). S?o Paulo: Atlas.
  28. Wanke, P.; Julianelli, L. (2006). Previs?es de vendas: processosorganizacionais e m?todosquantitativos e qualitativos (Sales forecasts: organizational processes and quantitative and qualitative methods). S?o Paulo: Atlas.

How to Cite This Article

Luiz Rodrigo Bonette. (2019); THE APPLICATION OF DEMAND FORECAST MODELS IN TEMPORARY SERIES OF THE AIRPORT OF THE CITY OF RIBEIRAO PRETO IN THE STATE OF SAO PAULO., Int. J. of Adv. Res., 7 (01), 1271-1279, ISSN 2320-5407. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21474/IJAR01/8450

Corresponding Author

Luiz Rodrigo Bonette
University Center Estácio of Ribeirão Preto, Brazil
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.