Vol. 7 (06) pp. 119-126 DOI: 10.21474/IJAR01/9202

AN ASSESSMENT OF VOLATILITY TRANSMISSION IN THE PAKISTAN, INDIA AND SRI LANKA STOCK MARKETS USING BEKK-GARCH MODEL.

25 Downloads 127 Views
Crossref

Abstract

This paper inspects the dynamics of volatility and volatility co-movement among Pakistan (KSE-100), India (BSESN) and Sri Lanka (CSE) stocks markets. The volatility and cross-volatility are modeled via BEKK-GARCH model using daily returns indices of the selected stock markets from January, 2011 to January, 2019. Empirical analysis reveals that BEKK-GARCH (1,1) model is found to be appropriate as it has less number of parameters (parsimony). The value of GARCH parameter is high in BSESN which indicates that Indian stock market is highly persistent. This shows that if shocks occur it will take a long time to die out from the market dilemma. However, the coefficient of GARCH has minimum value in KSE-100 among all. On the other hand, the value of short run shock (ARCH coefficient) is high in CSE. This suggests that volatility is more sensitive to past market events for a short period of time. The strongest cross-market effect is detected between India and Sri Lanka. On the contrary, the volatility co-movement is high between Pakistan and Sri Lanka.

Keywords

How to Cite This Article

Samreen Fatima and MudassirUddin. (2019); AN ASSESSMENT OF VOLATILITY TRANSMISSION IN THE PAKISTAN, INDIA AND SRI LANKA STOCK MARKETS USING BEKK-GARCH MODEL., International Journal of Advanced Research (IJAR), 7 (06), 119-126, ISSN 2320-5407. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21474/IJAR01/9202

Corresponding Author

Samreen Fatima

Article Analytics

References

  1. Henry, P. B. (2000). Do stock market liberalizations cause investment booms?.?Journal of Financial economics,?58(1-2), 301-334.
  2. Bae, K. H., & Karolyi, G. A. (1994). Good news, bad news and international spillovers of stock return volatility between Japan and the US.?Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,?2(4), 405-438.
  3. Lin, W. L., Engle, R. F., & Ito, T. (1994). Do bulls and bears move across borders? International transmission of stock returns and volatility.?Review of financial studies,?7(3), 507-538.
  4. Greenidge, K., & Grosvenor, T. (2010). FORECASTING NON-PERFORMING LOANS IN BARBADOS.?Journal of Business, Finance & Economics in Emerging Economies,?5(1).
  5. Sariannidis, N., Galyfianakis, G., & Drimbetas, E. (2015). The effect of financial and macroeconomic factors on the oil market.?International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy,?5(4), 1084-1091.
  6. Xiao, L., & Dhesi, G. (2010). Volatility spillover and time-varying conditional correlation between the European and US stock markets.?Global Economy and Finance Journal,?3(2), 148-164.
  7. Fiszeder, P., & Orzeszko, W. (2012). Nonparametric Verification of GARCH-Class Models for Selected Polish Exchange Rates and Stock Indices.?Finance A Uver: Czech Journal of Economics & Finance,?62(5).
  8. Kumar, M. (2013). Returns and volatility spillover between stock prices and exchange rates: Empirical evidence from IBSA countries.?International Journal of Emerging Markets,?8(2), 108-128.
  9. Diebold, F. X., & Yilmaz, K. (2009). Measuring financial asset return and volatility spillovers, with application to global equity markets.?The Economic Journal,?119(534), 158-171.
  10. Prashant, J. (2014). Volatility Interactions among India and US Stock Markets.?Case Studies in Business and Management,?1(1), 107-117.
  11. Ng, S. L., Chin, W. C., & Chong, L. L. (2017). Multivariate market risk evaluation between Malaysian Islamic stock index and sectoral indices.?Borsa Istanbul Review,?17(1), 49-61.
  12. Beirne, J., Caporale, G. M., Schulze-Ghattas, M., & Spagnolo, N. (2010). Global and regional spillovers in emerging stock markets: A multivariate GARCH-in-mean analysis.?Emerging markets review,?11(3), 250-260.
  13. Liu, C. (2016). Spillover effects in major equity markets: A GARCH BEKK approach.?Open Access Library Journal,?3(02), 1.
  14. Dajcman, S., Festic, M., & Kavkler, A. (2012). Comovement dynamics between Central and Eastern European and developed European stock markets during European integration and amid financial crises?a wavelet analysis.?Engineering Economics,?23(1), 22-32.
  15. Bollerslev, T., Engle, R. F., & Wooldridge, J. M. (1988). A capital asset pricing model with time-varying covariances.?Journal of political Economy,?96(1), 116-131.
  16. Engle, R. F., & Kroner, K. F. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH.?Econometric theory,?11(1), 122-150.
  17. Bauwens, L., Laurent, S., & Rombouts, J. V. (2006). Multivariate GARCH models: a survey.?Journal of applied econometrics,?21(1), 79-109.
 

Similar Articles